Ingest signals
Sales, ERP, marketing, FX, and operational signals normalized into a single governed feature store—refreshed on the cadence finance trusts.
The problem
Forecasts age the moment they're approved
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Quarterly reforecasts are already stale
By the time finance closes a reforecast cycle, sell-through, FX moves, and channel shifts have already changed the picture—leadership steers with last quarter's map.
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Scenarios live in fragile spreadsheets
Sensitivity to FX, demand, or pricing lives in a handful of model files owned by a few analysts. One sick day, one broken link, and the scenario story stops.
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No defendable model lineage
Auditors ask which inputs drove which forecast and which version went to the board. The trail is partial, the version control is informal, and explainability is anecdotal.
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AI pilots stall before audit sign-off
Data-science prototypes show lift in the lab but fail to pass internal audit because governance, approval workflows, and override accountability were not designed in.
运作方式
A continuous forecast layer your finance team owns
Predict & explain
Forecasts with confidence ranges, driver attribution, and what changed since the last cycle—surfaced where finance already works (Excel, BI, internal portal).
Approve & publish
Finance owns the override layer: lock assumptions, attach commentary, and publish board-ready scenarios with full lineage and reviewer trail.
Flow is adapted to your close calendar, ERP, and forecast cadence.
贴合现实、而非日历的财务预测
包含内容
Forecasting your auditorsand CFO can defend
Models, governance, and explainability in a single layer—delivered on Synapse with finance-owned approval gates and audit lineage from day one.
Rolling forecast engine
Weekly or daily recalibration on the cadence your business actually moves at—no quarterly lag.
Driver decomposition
Each forecast comes with the top drivers, sign and magnitude—so finance defends the number with evidence, not intuition.
Scenario library
Pre-built FX, demand, pricing, and macro scenarios; finance can fork, lock, and publish new ones without engineering.
Approval & override gates
Finance retains authority: assumptions can be overridden, locked, and signed by a named reviewer with timestamp.
Model lineage & audit trail
Every published forecast traces back to inputs, model version, reviewer, and approval moment—ready for internal audit.
Excel & BI integration
Surfaces in the tools finance already uses; no separate workflow to maintain.
技术提供 Synapse
成果
What changes when this runs in production
Results vary by context, data maturity, and scope. We scope honestly before we promise precisely.
+15–25%
improvement in forecast accuracy (MAPE) vs. quarterly cycle
Orientative—varies by data quality and cycle length.
60%
less time spent on manual reforecasts each cycle
Orientative—based on early implementations.
Full
model lineage and approval trail for every published scenario
合作方式
From first call to production—without the usual drag
Assess
Assess
Week 1–2
Map current forecast cycle, data sources, governance gaps, and the top decisions the forecast must support.
Design
Design
Week 3–5
Define driver hierarchy, approval gates, sensitivity ranges, and which scenarios are board-facing.
Build
Build
Week 6–10
Integrate ERP/CRM signals, train and validate models against historical cycles, design the override UX with finance.
Govern & scale
Govern & scale
Week 11+
Audit sign-off, finance-owned operations, expand scenarios and segments by quarter.
Timelines vary by ERP complexity, data quality, and audit requirements.
延伸阅读
Forecasting, governance, and what to explore next
开始
Ready to forecast at the cadence your business actually moves at?
No commitment. We start with a scoped session to map your close cycle, data, and governance needs.